High margins face lofty expectations
Slightly overvaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Lennox International Inc (LII) High margins face lofty expectations

Jul 25, 2026Equity Analysis

Is today’s price assuming reinvestment keeps paying off?

Trailing P/E
23.61
Price
541.13
ROE
73.85
Gross Margin
33.43

How does the HVAC equipment business work?

Lennox International designs and manufactures climate-control equipment used in buildings. The company’s offering spans heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and related solutions sold through established channels. Its operations are geared toward turning engineered products into repeatable, serviceable installations across a broad installed base. At its current scale, it sits as a sizeable public company in the US building space. The company has a market cap of USD 18.8 billion.

Are margins and cash generation staying strong?

Fundamentals

For 2025 (reported in USD), revenue was USD 5.2 billion, with EBIT of USD 1.0 billion and net income of USD 805.8 million. Over the same period, revenue declined 2.7% year over year, while trailing margins remained elevated, including a 33.43% gross margin and a 19.95% operating margin alongside a 15.27% net profit margin.

Cash generation was USD 961.6 million, helped by USD 112.5 million of depreciation and amortization and very low reported capital spending of USD 1.4 million. The balance sheet figures here are compact, with cash at USD 34.2 million against total debt of USD 244.3 million.

Does the price exceed central fair value?

DCF / Multiples

With the stock at USD 541.13, the DCF spans from USD 318.59 in a weaker scenario to USD 448.03 centrally and USD 583.92 in a stronger outcome, placing the current price above the central estimate but still inside the full range.

Execution needs to stay clean

Takeaway

Operations are converting revenue into profits at a high rate. The investment case rests on reinvestment sustaining those margins. At this price, execution needs to stay clean and repeatable. A slip in profitability or cash conversion would hurt quickly.

Disclaimer
This note is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.73Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move+0.02Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.73Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation25 July 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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