Reinvestment Needs to Catch Up
OvervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Trimble Inc (TRMB) Reinvestment Needs to Catch Up

Jul 24, 2026Equity Analysis

Is Trimble reinvesting enough to justify today’s earnings multiple?

Trailing P/E
22.42
Price
50.35
ROE
9.07
Gross Margin
70.45

How does the business serve field work?

Trimble Inc builds software and technology used to measure, map, and manage work in the physical world. Its tools are used across construction and civil engineering workflows, alongside positioning and data-collection needs that depend on reliable field hardware and software. The business also supports agriculture use cases where operators rely on guidance, mapping, and job execution tools. At roughly USD 11.7 billion in market value, it sits in that middle ground where investors still expect meaningful progress, but the company is large enough that each incremental gain has to be earned.

Did profitability hold up as revenue slipped?

Fundamentals

For the year ended 2026-01-02 (reported in USD), revenue came in at USD 3.6 billion, with EBIT of USD 592.0 million and net income of USD 424.0 million. Revenue declined 2.6% versus the prior annual period, while profitability held up with a 19.15% operating margin and a 13.85% net profit margin on a trailing basis.

On the reinvestment and cash side, depreciation and amortization was USD 199.9 million, and the company’s cash flow proxy was USD 706.5 million. Cash was USD 253.4 million against total debt of USD 1.4 billion, keeping the financing stack a visible part of the picture alongside operating results.

Is the price above fair value?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 50.35, the stock sits above the DCF range that runs from USD 24.61 in a weaker outcome to USD 30.83 at the midpoint and USD 36.21 in a stronger outcome. That pricing also comes with headline multiples of 22.42x trailing earnings and 15.52x EV/EBITDA, alongside 3.11x sales.

Valuation stays demanding

Takeaway

The current price assumes better growth than recent sales show. Reinvestment has to translate into renewed revenue expansion. Margins need to stay resilient while growth re-accelerates. Debt adds pressure if cash generation cools. Without faster top-line momentum, the valuation setup stays demanding.

Disclaimer
This material is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.
Fair Value Rankings

Market Price vs Intrinsic Value

Quick access to the most undervalued and overvalued stocks, ranked by their discount or premium to DCF-based fair value.

Undervalued

Stocks trading below fair value

View full ranking
1
Newmont Corporation
NEM
+80%
discount
2
CF Industries Holdings Inc
CF
+79%
discount
3
Delta Air Lines Inc
DAL
+79%
discount
Overvalued

Stocks trading above fair value

View full ranking
1
Roku Inc
ROKU
+393%
premium
2
Waters Corp
WAT
+389%
premium
3
General Motors Co
GM
+378%
premium
INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
View index

VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.75Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move0.00Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.73Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation24 July 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
Next actions

What would you like?

Continuously expanding company coverage — prioritized by user demand.

Suggest a company to analyze

Help shape what we analyze next.

We'll send a confirmation email to verify your request — not for marketing.

New analyses are added regularly. Request processing times may vary.