Earnings Strength Faces Valuation Pressure
Slightly undervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Equifax Inc (EFX) Earnings Strength Faces Valuation Pressure

Jun 21, 2026Equity Analysis

Is Equifax being priced for steadier cash generation than it delivers?

Trailing P/E
26.23
Price
153.93
ROE
14.57
Gross Margin
56.12

Is this data network built for durability?

Equifax provides information and analytics that help businesses assess identity, credit, and related risk. Its products are used in decision workflows where data accuracy and consistent delivery matter, including routine screening and verification use cases. The company operates at large scale, serving customers that integrate its data into ongoing processes rather than one-off purchases. That makes the business feel less like a single product cycle and more like an embedded service.

Are margins and cash flow holding steady?

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue reached about USD 6.07 billion, alongside EBIT of roughly USD 1.10 billion and net income of about USD 664 million. Revenue grew 6.9% versus the prior annual period, with trailing margins showing 56.12% gross margin, 18.26% operating margin, and 11.12% net profit margin.

Cash conversion, based on the provided proxy, was about USD 1.11 billion, derived from EBIT after tax plus USD 727 million of depreciation and amortization and minus USD 481 million of capital spending. Total debt stood at about USD 1.04 billion at year-end.

Is the market paying up for stability?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 153.93, the stock sits below the central discounted cash flow estimate and above the lower-case outcome, with the valuation range spanning from USD 112.51 through USD 177.64 to USD 248.80 under a stronger set of assumptions. The current pricing also aligns with a 26.23 trailing P/E and 12.51 EV/EBITDA, reflecting expectations for steady earnings and cash generation.

Valuation Depends on Consistency

Takeaway

The price is leaning on a durable, repeatable earnings base. That requires margins and cash conversion to stay dependable. If cash generation softens, the valuation support thins quickly. If durability holds, today’s price is not demanding perfection.

Disclaimer
This information is for general informational purposes and is not investment advice.
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INDEX
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ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.79Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move0.00Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.77Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation21 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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