Fundamentals and Outlook
UndervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Exxon Mobil (XOM) Fundamentals and Outlook

Mar 4, 2026Equity Analysis

What matters more here: the steadiness of the cash engine, or the price being paid for it?

Trailing P/E
22.2
Price
151.83
ROE
11.04
Gross Margin
30.02

Company Overview

Exxon Mobil Corp is a large energy company listed on the New York Stock Exchange and based in the United States. It operates across the energy value chain, though the data pack does not provide a segment breakdown. The company’s market capitalization is about $635.4 billion, reflecting its scale and the market’s expectations for long-term earnings power. Exxon Mobil’s operations span exploration, production, refining, and distribution of energy products, positioning it as one of the largest integrated energy firms globally.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

For 2025, Exxon Mobil reported revenue of 332,238,000,000 in reported USD figures, representing a 4.96% decline year over year. Net income was 29,764,000,000, while EBIT was not provided, limiting visibility into operating performance. Depreciation and amortization totaled 25,993,000,000, and capital expenditures were 28,358,000,000, suggesting continued investment in operations.

Profitability remains positive, with an operating margin of 11.36% and a net profit margin of 8.91%. These figures indicate that the company continues to generate meaningful earnings from its operations, though the absence of EBIT data prevents a full assessment of operating leverage.

ROE of 11.04% shows moderate returns on equity, consistent with a mature energy business. The gross margin of 30.02% reflects a solid cost structure, while the beta of 0.36 suggests relatively low share-price volatility compared to the broader market.

Cash stood at 10,681,000,000 against total debt of 34,241,000,000, indicating manageable but notable leverage. The lack of free cash flow data makes it difficult to confirm how effectively earnings translate into cash generation.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

At a share price of 151.83 USD, Exxon Mobil trades below the model’s fair value range based on the provided DCF results. The valuation model suggests that the market may be discounting the company’s long-term earnings stability.

Given the trailing P/E of 22.20 and ROE of 11.04%, the current price implies moderate expectations for future profitability. The market appears cautious about sustained revenue and margin performance amid recent declines.

Because the data pack’s valuation verbosity is extreme, the specific fair value numbers are not shown here. The overall picture suggests that while the shares may appear attractive relative to modeled fair value, missing cash flow data limits confidence in that assessment.

Conclusion

Takeaway

The stock appears reasonably valued but with uncertainty around cash flow durability. The market seems to expect stable but not accelerating earnings. The main risk is that continued revenue declines could erode margins and long-term profitability.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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