Valuation and Expectations
Slightly overvaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Walmart (WMT) Valuation and Expectations

Feb 27, 2026Equity Analysis

Is Walmart priced for future growth or are current expectations too high?

Trailing P/E
47.81
Price
124.42
ROE
23.69
Gross Margin
24.93

Company Overview

Walmart Inc is a leading player in the retail industry, operating globally with a significant presence in the United States. The company generates revenue primarily through its extensive network of retail stores and e-commerce platforms. Known for its wide range of products, including groceries, apparel, and electronics, Walmart serves millions of customers worldwide. With a market capitalization of approximately $1,028 billion, Walmart is a dominant force in retail, but the competitive landscape remains dynamic.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

Walmart's recent financial performance shows stability with a revenue of $674.54 billion (usd) for the year ending January 31, 2025. The company's EBIT was $29.35 billion (usd), and it achieved a net income of $20.16 billion (usd).

Revenue growth year-over-year was 4.96%, indicating steady expansion. The gross margin of 24.93% and operating margin of 4.18% suggest that Walmart maintains efficiency in its operations.

The company's ROE of 23.69% reflects strong profitability and efficient use of equity. However, cash flow specifics are not provided, leaving some uncertainty regarding cash generation.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

The current stock price of $124.42 is compared against a DCF fair value range. The bear scenario estimates a fair value of $67.90, the base case at $99.96, and the bull case at $137.50.

The price is within the bull scenario, indicating that the market may be pricing in optimistic growth or margin improvements. The high PE ratio implies that investors expect continued robust performance or improvement in key financial metrics.

Conclusion

Takeaway

Today, Walmart appears to be priced on the higher side of its fair value range. The market seems to be expecting strong growth or margin improvements. The biggest risk is if these expectations are not met, which could lead to a price adjustment.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Fair Value Rankings

Market Price vs Intrinsic Value

Quick access to the most undervalued and overvalued stocks, ranked by their discount or premium to DCF-based fair value.

Undervalued

Stocks trading below fair value

View full ranking
1
Delta Air Lines Inc
DAL
+80%
discount
2
Brown & Brown Inc
BRO
+79%
discount
3
Verizon Communications Inc
VZ
+78%
discount
Overvalued

Stocks trading above fair value

View full ranking
1
Bank of America Corp
BAC
+393%
premium
2
Applied Materials Inc
AMAT
+392%
premium
3
Guidewire Software Inc
GWRE
+391%
premium
INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
View index

VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
Next actions

What would you like?

Continuously expanding company coverage — prioritized by user demand.

Suggest a company to analyze

Help shape what we analyze next.

We'll send a confirmation email to verify your request — not for marketing.

New analyses are added regularly. Request processing times may vary.