Profit Durability Assessment
OvervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) Profit Durability Assessment

Mar 22, 2026Equity Analysis

Is the market overestimating the staying power of this chipmaker’s profits?

Trailing P/E
34.08
Price
187.21
ROE
30.44
Gross Margin
57.02

Company Overview

Texas Instruments Inc designs and manufactures semiconductors in the United States. The company’s market capitalization is about USD 170 billion. It serves a range of end markets through analog and embedded processing products. Its competitive positioning details are not provided.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

In its latest reported USD figures for 2025, Texas Instruments recorded revenue of USD 17.68 billion and net income of USD 5.00 billion, representing a 13.0% year‑over‑year increase in revenue. Operating margin was 34.06% and net margin 28.28%, showing strong profitability.

Return on equity reached 30.44%, indicating efficient capital use. Gross margin of 57.02% highlights pricing strength in its analog and embedded processing segments.

The company held USD 3.23 billion in cash against USD 1.00 billion in total debt, providing balance sheet flexibility. Depreciation and amortization totaled USD 1.92 billion, while capital expenditures were USD 4.55 billion, reflecting continued investment in manufacturing capacity.

Beta of 1.06 suggests market‑like volatility, and interest‑coverage data were not provided.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

At a share price of USD 187.21, the market valuation stands well above the discounted‑cash‑flow indication. The DCF model points to a materially lower intrinsic value than the current price, implying that investors expect profitability to remain durable.

With a trailing P/E of 34.08 and gross margin of 57.02%, the market appears to price in sustained high returns. If growth or margins soften, the valuation could compress, though the company’s low debt and strong cash position offer resilience.

Conclusion

Takeaway

Texas Instruments shows strong profitability and a solid balance sheet. The market seems confident in its ability to sustain high margins. However, the valuation already reflects these strengths. Any slowdown in growth could pressure the stock’s premium pricing.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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