Price Leaves Little Room for Error
Fair valueDCF
Equity analysis

Prologis Inc (PLD) Price Leaves Little Room for Error

Apr 1, 2026Equity Analysis

Is the market paying up for steady execution or perfection?

Trailing P/E
36.81
Price
132.18
ROE
6.28
Gross Margin
74.58

Company Overview

Prologis owns and operates industrial real estate, centered on logistics-focused properties. The business is built around leasing space to customers and managing a large property footprint at scale. Its model depends on keeping buildings occupied, renewing leases, and running the portfolio efficiently. With a market value around USD 122.5 billion, it sits among the larger public real estate operators.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue reached USD 8.16 billion, with EBIT at USD 3.41 billion and net income at USD 3.57 billion. That profit profile shows up in the trailing margins as well, with a 74.58% gross margin feeding through to a 38.80% operating margin and a 37.86% net margin.

Cash generation, using the provided proxy, was USD 5.88 billion, alongside depreciation and amortization of USD 2.63 billion. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year, while the balance sheet carried USD 35.0 billion of total debt.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

At USD 132.18, the stock is priced near the DCF’s central estimate of USD 135.71, with the valuation range running from USD 72.59 in a weaker scenario to USD 212.50 in a stronger outcome. The headline multiples attached to that price include 36.81x trailing earnings and 22.41x EV/EBITDA.

Conclusion

Takeaway

The business is currently converting revenue into profit efficiently. Today’s pricing assumes that execution stays consistent. Durability depends on keeping margins resilient as conditions change. Debt adds pressure if cash generation softens. If operations wobble, the valuation support can thin quickly.

Disclaimer
This information is for general analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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