Margins Hold as Revenue Falls
UndervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Occidental Petroleum Corp (OXY) Margins Hold as Revenue Falls

May 19, 2026Equity Analysis

Can Oxy keep margins steady while revenue swings?

Trailing P/E
12.58
Price
59.7
ROE
12.89
Gross Margin
71.9

What drives this energy producer’s operations?

Occidental Petroleum is an energy company focused on oil and gas operations. It produces and sells hydrocarbons and runs related midstream and marketing activities tied to moving and selling that production. The business is built around large, long-lived operating assets and the day-to-day reliability of field operations. With a market value around USD 59.4 billion, it operates at major scale in the public markets.

Are margins holding up amid lower revenue?

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue was about USD 21.6 billion and net income was roughly USD 2.4 billion. Revenue declined 19.2% versus the prior year, while trailing margins were 14.91% for operating margin and 23.65% for net profit margin.

The cost structure shows heavy non-cash charges and ongoing reinvestment: depreciation and amortization totaled about USD 7.5 billion and capital spending was around USD 6.4 billion. Liquidity and leverage were conservative at the period end, with roughly USD 2.0 billion of cash against USD 1.8 billion of total debt.

Is the stock trading below fair value?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 59.70, the stock trades below the DCF fair value range implied by weaker-to-stronger operating outcomes. The headline multiples are 12.58x trailing earnings and 6.87x EV/EBITDA, consistent with that DCF positioning.

Steady margins support resilience

Takeaway

The operating model depends on steady margins through revenue drops. Durability improves when capex stays disciplined versus depreciation. Low debt helps the business absorb choppy operating years. If margins slip or spending rises, the valuation support can fade.

Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
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ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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