High Returns Meet Premium Valuation
Slightly overvaluedDCF
Equity analysis

O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) High Returns Meet Premium Valuation

Apr 16, 2026Equity Analysis

Is today’s price paying too much for O’Reilly’s returns profile?

Trailing P/E
30.81
Price
93.6
ROE
423.35
Gross Margin
51.59

How Does This Auto Parts Retailer Operate?

O’Reilly Automotive is a U.S. auto parts retailer serving both do‑it‑yourself customers and professional repair shops. The business sells replacement parts, tools, and related accessories through a large store network. Its day‑to‑day model is built around product availability and repeat purchase behavior tied to vehicle maintenance and repair. At today’s scale, it sits as a large public retailer with a market value around USD 78.3 billion.

Are Margins And Cash Flow Holding Up?

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue was USD 17.8 billion, with EBIT of USD 3.5 billion and net income of USD 2.5 billion. Revenue growth for the year was 6.4%, alongside a 51.59% gross margin, a 19.46% operating margin, and a 14.27% net profit margin on a trailing basis.

Cash stood at USD 193.8 million against total debt of USD 6.0 billion. Depreciation and amortization were USD 511.2 million, while capital spending was USD 1.2 billion, producing a cash flow proxy of about USD 2.1 billion.

Is The Market Overpaying For Quality?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 93.60, the stock trades above the central discounted cash flow estimate of USD 83.84, while still below the upper estimate of USD 130.52 and above the lower estimate of USD 48.51. That pricing also comes with a 30.81× trailing P/E and 21.16× EV/EBITDA, placing a premium on the durability of the business’s profit engine.

Valuation Leaves Little Cushion

Takeaway

The price is already leaning on sustained high returns. That only holds if margins and cash generation stay resilient. A slip in profitability would matter quickly at this valuation. The setup is less forgiving than the business fundamentals alone suggest.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Fair Value Rankings

Market Price vs Intrinsic Value

Quick access to the most undervalued and overvalued stocks, ranked by their discount or premium to DCF-based fair value.

Undervalued

Stocks trading below fair value

View full ranking
1
Delta Air Lines Inc
DAL
+80%
discount
2
Brown & Brown Inc
BRO
+79%
discount
3
Verizon Communications Inc
VZ
+78%
discount
Overvalued

Stocks trading above fair value

View full ranking
1
Bank of America Corp
BAC
+393%
premium
2
Applied Materials Inc
AMAT
+392%
premium
3
Guidewire Software Inc
GWRE
+391%
premium
INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
View index

VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
Next actions

What would you like?

Continuously expanding company coverage — prioritized by user demand.

Suggest a company to analyze

Help shape what we analyze next.

We'll send a confirmation email to verify your request — not for marketing.

New analyses are added regularly. Request processing times may vary.