High Margins Meet a Full Price
Slightly overvaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) High Margins Meet a Full Price

May 3, 2026Equity Analysis

Is the exchange-and-data franchise as durable as the price implies?

Trailing P/E
28.88
Price
91.32
ROE
15.02
Gross Margin
63.54

How Does This Market Platform Operate?

Nasdaq Inc operates market infrastructure and related services around securities trading. The business also provides data products and technology that support market participants and financial institutions. It sits at the center of transaction, connectivity, and information workflows tied to public markets. At roughly USD 51.6 billion in market value, it is a scaled financial-services platform.

Are Margins and Cash Flow Holding Up?

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue was about USD 8.26 billion, up 11.6% year over year, with EBIT of roughly USD 2.33 billion. Depreciation and amortization totaled about USD 632 million, and the cash-flow proxy was around USD 2.60 billion.

Net income for the same period was USD 83 million. The balance sheet showed USD 604 million of cash alongside USD 9.00 billion of total debt. On a trailing basis, margins were high, with a 63.54% gross margin, a 29.24% operating margin, and a 21.64% net profit margin.

Is the Stock Price Ahead of Value?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 91.32, the stock sits above the central DCF estimate of USD 77.00, within a range that runs from USD 48.49 in a weaker scenario to USD 108.70 in a stronger outcome. Headline pricing is also not low on trailing multiples, with a P/E of 28.88 and EV/EBITDA of 19.87.

Expectations Leave Little Cushion

Takeaway

The price leans on the business staying structurally important. Durability has to show up as consistently high margins and cash generation. Any slip in earnings quality would matter with this multiple. Debt adds less room for operational surprises. Overall, the setup looks more demanding than forgiving.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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