Valuation and Fundamentals
Slightly undervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Eli Lilly (LLY) Valuation and Fundamentals

Mar 1, 2026Equity Analysis

It’s worth asking how much future perfection is already baked into today’s price.

Trailing P/E
48.09
Price
1051.99
ROE
97.85
Gross Margin
83.04

Company Overview

Eli Lilly and Co is a US-based pharmaceuticals company listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The company operates in the Pharmaceuticals industry and is valued by the market at about USD 992.4 billion. Details on its product lines, customer mix, and geographic revenue distribution are not provided in the data pack, but its scale suggests a major presence in global healthcare markets.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

Eli Lilly reported USD figures for the year ended December 31, 2025, with revenue of about 65,179,000,000 and net income of about 20,640,000,000. Revenue grew 44.70% year over year, showing strong top-line momentum from the prior period.

Profitability remained exceptional, with a gross margin of 83.04%, operating margin of 40.35%, and net profit margin of 31.66%. These levels indicate a highly efficient business model capable of converting a large portion of revenue into profit.

The balance sheet shows cash of about 7,268,000,000 and total debt of about 3,270,000,000, suggesting a conservative financial position. However, CapEx and free cash flow data are not provided, limiting visibility into cash generation after investment spending.

With a trailing P/E of 48.09 and ROE of 97.85%, the company demonstrates strong profitability but trades at a premium valuation that reflects high expectations for continued growth and margin stability.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

At a current price of 1,051.99 USD, the stock trades within the model’s fair value range and below its central estimate, indicating that the valuation appears reasonable relative to the DCF framework.

The market is already pricing in sustained high profitability and continued growth from a large base, as reflected in the 48.09x earnings multiple and 15.23x sales multiple. These levels imply that investors expect the company to maintain its strong margins and growth trajectory.

If growth or margins weaken, the valuation could compress given the high multiples. Conversely, maintaining current profitability and growth rates would justify the present price within the model’s fair value range.

Conclusion

Takeaway

The stock appears reasonable relative to its fair value range. The market seems to expect Eli Lilly to sustain high growth and profitability for many years. The main risk is that any slowdown in growth or margin pressure could lead to a sharp valuation reset.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
View index

VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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