Durable Cash Flow Focus
Fair valueDCF
Equity analysis

Coca-Cola Co (KO) Durable Cash Flow Focus

Mar 10, 2026Equity Analysis

Is the market paying too much for this company’s steady cash generation?

Trailing P/E
25.53
Price
77.93
ROE
44.35
Gross Margin
61.63

Company Overview

Coca-Cola Co is a US beverages company listed on the New York Stock Exchange. It produces and markets nonalcoholic drinks globally, anchored by its flagship Coca-Cola brand and a broad portfolio of sparkling and still beverages. The company’s market capitalization is about USD 335 billion. Its operations emphasize brand strength, global distribution, and consistent cash generation across diverse beverage categories.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

Coca-Cola reported USD figures for 2025 with revenue of 47.94 billion, EBIT of 13.76 billion, and net income of 13.14 billion. Revenue grew 1.87% from the prior year, showing modest top-line expansion.

The company’s TTM gross margin of 61.63% and operating margin of 28.55% reflect strong pricing power and cost discipline. Net profit margin stood at 27.34%, supported by efficient operations and brand strength.

Depreciation and amortization totaled 1.05 billion, while capital expenditure reached 2.11 billion. The free cash flow proxy, excluding working capital changes, was 9.84 billion, indicating solid cash generation capacity.

Coca-Cola’s balance sheet shows cash of 10.27 billion versus total debt of 3.37 billion, providing financial flexibility. Interest coverage was not provided.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

At USD 77.93 per share, Coca-Cola trades close to its DCF base case fair value of USD 76.15. The DCF range spans USD 48.62 (bear) to USD 112.24 (bull).

The current valuation implies a PE of 25.53 and EV/EBITDA of 23.72, suggesting investors are paying for stability rather than rapid growth. With steady margins and cash flow, the market appears to price in durability over acceleration.

Conclusion

Takeaway

Coca-Cola’s valuation reflects confidence in its enduring cash generation. Growth is modest, but profitability remains strong. The balance sheet supports resilience through cycles. For long-term investors, stability may be the main attraction.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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