Strong Margins Meet Premium Valuation
Slightly overvaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Fastenal Co (FAST) Strong Margins Meet Premium Valuation

May 11, 2026Equity Analysis

Can a premium multiple coexist with a net-cash balance sheet?

Trailing P/E
39.02
Price
44.17
ROE
33.25
Gross Margin
44.89

Is this distributor built for steady demand?

Fastenal Co distributes industrial and construction supplies, with a focus on fasteners and related products used in day-to-day operations. The business serves customers that need frequent replenishment and consistent product availability across many sites. It operates at large scale, with a market value around USD 50.7 billion. Shares trade on NASDAQ.

Are margins and cash flow holding firm?

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue reached about USD 8.2 billion, with EBIT at roughly USD 1.66 billion and net income of about USD 1.26 billion. Revenue grew 8.7% versus the prior annual period, alongside a 44.89% gross margin and a 15.39% net profit margin on a trailing basis.

Cash generation, using the provided cash-flow proxy, came in at about USD 1.43 billion, while depreciation and amortization was USD 168.5 million. On the balance sheet, cash of USD 276.8 million sat above total debt of USD 125.0 million, keeping net debt negative.

Is the stock priced for perfection?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 44.17, the share price sits above the central fair value estimate and near the upper end of the DCF range, which runs from USD 21.59 in a weaker scenario through USD 32.50 centrally to USD 45.57 in a stronger outcome. The headline multiples—39.02x trailing earnings and 26.91x EV/EBITDA—also place the stock toward the pricier end of its own valuation setup.

Solid business, full valuation

Takeaway

The balance sheet looks clean, with cash exceeding debt. The price already leans on the stronger end of outcomes. The case works best if margins and cash generation stay steady. It weakens if profitability fades or cash generation slows.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.74Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move0.00Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.76Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation28 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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