Capex Pressure Meets Modest Returns
UndervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) Capex Pressure Meets Modest Returns

May 31, 2026Equity Analysis

Can a heavy capex utility earn more than its cost of capital?

Trailing P/E
18.06
Price
105.63
ROE
8.82
Gross Margin
46.69

Is this utility built for steady returns?

Consolidated Edison is a regulated utility that delivers electric, gas, and steam service. It operates in the US utility market with a large installed network and long-lived infrastructure. The business is built around running and maintaining that system while funding ongoing upgrades and expansion. At roughly USD 38.9 billion in market value, it sits in the large-cap end of the utilities space.

Are rising costs limiting profitability growth?

Fundamentals

In 2025, reported in USD, revenue was about USD 16.9 billion, with EBIT of roughly USD 2.9 billion and net income of around USD 2.0 billion. Revenue grew 10.9% versus the prior annual period, while trailing margins were 46.69% gross, 18.43% operating, and 12.52% net.

The capital intensity shows up clearly in the cash and investment lines: depreciation and amortization ran at about USD 2.3 billion against USD 4.8 billion of capital expenditures. Using an EBIT-based proxy that adds back depreciation and amortization and subtracts capital spending, the period came out at about negative USD 82 million. Total debt was roughly USD 1.8 billion, while trailing ROE was 8.82% and a return-on-invested-capital proxy was about 6.33%.

Is the market underpricing future returns?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 105.63, the stock trades below the range implied by the discounted cash flow model’s weaker-to-stronger outcomes. The headline multiples alongside that setup are 18.06x trailing earnings and 11.90x EV/EBITDA.

Returns Bound by Heavy Spending

Takeaway

The valuation only works if returns hold up through capex cycles. Today’s returns look bounded, not expansive. Cash generation is the weak spot when spending runs ahead. If capex stays high without better returns, value creation stalls.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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