Margins Strong Yet Valuation Lags
UndervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

D.R. Horton Inc (DHI) Margins Strong Yet Valuation Lags

May 14, 2026Equity Analysis

Is a low earnings multiple ignoring durable homebuilding economics?

Trailing P/E
12.58
Price
140.73
ROE
13.24
Gross Margin
23.14

How Does This Homebuilder Operate?

D.R. Horton is a U.S. homebuilder focused on constructing and selling residential homes. The company’s core activity is delivering completed homes to buyers, tying results to how efficiently it can convert land and building activity into closings. Its scale is substantial, with an equity value of about USD 39.9 billion, placing it among the larger publicly traded builders. The business model is straightforward: build, sell, and recycle capital into the next set of homes.

Are Revenues And Margins Holding Steady?

Fundamentals

For the year ended September 30, 2025, reported in USD, revenue was about USD 34.3 billion and net income was roughly USD 3.6 billion. Revenue declined 6.9% versus the prior annual period, while trailing profitability held at a 23.14% gross margin, a 12.68% operating margin, and a 9.51% net profit margin.

The balance sheet shows around USD 3.0 billion of cash against USD 6.0 billion of total debt. Depreciation and amortization was USD 101.3 million, and trailing ROE was 13.24%.

Is The Market Undervaluing These Earnings?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 140.73, the stock trades below the DCF-derived fair value range, even under the weaker scenario. That setup is paired with a trailing P/E of 12.58 and EV/EBITDA of 10.27, levels that align more with a business priced for fragility than one sustaining double-digit operating margins.

Resilient Margins Suggest Mispricing

Takeaway

The pricing looks harsher than the current numbers justify. For this to work, margins and returns must stay resilient. The main risk is that revenue softness drags profits down. If durability holds, the gap to fair value looks like mispricing.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
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ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.76Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.02Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.75Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation30 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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