Growth Pace Versus Premium Valuation
Slightly undervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Church & Dwight Co Inc (CHD) Growth Pace Versus Premium Valuation

Jul 10, 2026Equity Analysis

Is the reinvestment pace enough to justify this multiple?

Trailing P/E
30.85
Price
95.67
ROE
17.45
Gross Margin
45.07

Is this a steady consumer staples play?

Church & Dwight makes household and personal care products sold through mass retail and other consumer channels. The portfolio spans everyday staples, with demand tied to repeat purchase behavior rather than one-off cycles. The company operates at large scale, with a market capitalization around USD 22.7 billion. Its equity base is widely held, with roughly 236.9 million shares outstanding.

Are margins and reinvestment staying balanced?

Fundamentals

For 2025, reported in USD, revenue reached USD 6.2 billion, with EBIT of USD 1.1 billion and net income of USD 736.8 million. Year over year, revenue increased 1.6%, alongside a 45.07% gross margin and a 17.30% operating margin on a trailing basis.

Reinvestment remained modest relative to the income base, with depreciation and amortization of USD 89.7 million and capital spending of USD 122.4 million. The cash-flow proxy was about USD 824.9 million, while total debt stood at USD 2.2 billion.

Does the current price match fair value?

DCF / Multiples

At USD 95.67, the stock trades within the DCF range that runs from USD 77.63 in a weaker outcome to USD 123.45 in the central case and USD 183.79 in a stronger outcome. The current price also aligns with a 30.85× trailing P/E and a 20.92× EV/EBITDA.

Premium depends on steady growth

Takeaway

The price does not look like a bargain. The case depends on steady growth with disciplined reinvestment. Cash generation needs to stay reliable as spending stays controlled. If growth stays low, the multiple becomes harder to defend.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.76Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.03Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.74Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation10 July 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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