Assessing Long Term Resilience
OvervaluedDCF
Equity analysis

Boeing Co (BA) Assessing Long Term Resilience

Mar 19, 2026Equity Analysis

Can this business sustain steady results through the next downcycle?

Trailing P/E
72.4
Price
205.99
ROE
150.72
Gross Margin
4.79

Company Overview

Boeing Co is a U.S. aerospace and defense manufacturer that designs, builds, and services commercial airplanes, defense systems, and space products. The company operates globally through its Commercial Airplanes, Defense, Space & Security, and Global Services segments. It also provides aftermarket support and financing solutions. Boeing has about 786 million shares outstanding and a market value near $162 billion.

Analysis of recent data

Fundamentals

For 2025, Boeing reported revenue of 89.46 billion USD, a 34.5% increase from the prior year. Gross and operating margins both stood at 4.79%, indicating limited operating leverage. Depreciation and amortization were 1.95 billion USD, while capital expenditure reached 2.94 billion USD.

The company held 10.92 billion USD in cash against 16.92 billion USD in total debt, resulting in a modest net cash position. EBIT and net income were not provided, limiting visibility into earnings strength. The net profit margin of 2.5% and beta 1.18 suggest thin profitability and exposure to market swings.

Return on equity was 150.72%, reflecting balance‑sheet effects rather than sustained profitability. Overall, the data show improving revenue but still‑fragile margins and limited earnings disclosure.

Valuation

DCF / Multiples

At a market price of 205.99 USD per share, Boeing trades well above the model’s fair‑value range. The DCF analysis indicates a fair‑value span from 63.90 USD to 126.82 USD per share.

With a trailing P/E of 72.40 and EV/EBITDA of 27.95, the market appears to price in smoother earnings and stronger margins than recent results show. The valuation suggests investors expect durable recovery and consistent execution despite current volatility.

Conclusion

Takeaway

Boeing’s recovery story is still unfolding. Revenue growth is strong, but profitability remains thin. The balance sheet offers some flexibility if conditions weaken. Investors seem to be paying ahead of proven stability.

Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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INDEX
VDIX
ValueDetect Intrinsic eXpectations Index
Overvalued market
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VDIX measures whether the market is expensive or cheap relative to intrinsic value. For each company, ValueDetect estimates fair value using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, then compares it with the current share price to derive a RiskRatio. These signals are capped, weighted by market capitalization, and aggregated into a single market-wide score.

Current score-0.82Negative = market trades above fair value
1-day move-0.13Rising score = improving valuation conditions
7-day average-0.68Smoothed market valuation signal
Latest observation03 June 2026The latest weighted reading suggests that the market is trading above DCF-based intrinsic value in aggregate.
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